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The Folly of PEG Ratio

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Cost Earning Growth (PEG) Ratio may be the percentage of a company's P/E having its growth rate. A great deal of experts have concurred that a share is fairly valued when its PEG ratio similar one. Which means in case a stock includes a P/E of-10 using a growth rate of-10, then a stock is trading at fair value.

Exactly how many of you've seen this sort of statement? I've seen it a lot of times and I think it's ridiculous. Your Http://Www.Surfline.Com/Company/Bios/ contains further about the reason for it. It is a relatively simple reason. Let's think of it to get a minute. If a stock can increase its gaining for 8-12, then to achieve reasonable value, the stock must deal at a P/E of 8. How about a stock with growth rate of fifty? Its fair value is really a P/E Of 5. Think about a company with 005-.010 growth? Oh, right. Based on this concept, the business needs to have a P/E of 0, or worthless. Does this sound right? Heck, no. Discover extra resources about http://www.surfline.com/company/bios by navigating to our powerful link. But there are a lot of articles regarding this PEG theory. Here are many sources of generally mis-understood PEG ratio:

http://www.moneychimp.com/glossary/peg_ratio.htm

http://www.fool.com/School/TheFoolRatio.htm

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/analyst/043002.asp

For a 0% growth company, the fair P/E rate for the company is not 0. Instead, it is a few percent above risk-free rate of interest or even a ten year treasury bond. In case a twenty year bond is yielding 4.6%, then the reasonable value of the common stock is at 7.6% yield. Inverting this produce, we get a P/E rate of 13.2.

Anything else is wrong with using PEG rate to look for the reasonable value of a common stock? PEG considers infinite growth rate in earning per share. Get extra information about visit my website by visiting our lofty website. No company could develop at-the same rate forever. What's the reasonable value of the most popular stock using PEG ratio, if we suppose company A will grow at 10% rate for your next five-years and then growth slows to 2% forever? The answer is-it can not do that. PEG ratio is much too easy to single-handedly assign a reasonable value for a typical stock. It is simply wrong and misleading to-use PEG rate for the fair value calculation.

Good sense dictates a investment with higher growth rate ought to be valued at a higher P/E ratio. There's nothing wrong with that. But being a fair value of the common stock employing a simple PEG ratio of 1 is just wrong. I don't have a precise way to calculate this but an opinion may be read on other articles entitled Calculating Fair Value with Growth and Fair Value with Negative Growth..

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